European Rugby Challenge Cup 2023 Status

Current Team Rankings

Club Rankings

Knockout Match Predictions

finals

Sharks V Gloucester Rugby on 2024/05/24

Average Margin: Gloucester Rugby by 1.3

Completed Match Review

Match Result Lineup Prediction Minutes Prediction Club Prediction
Clermont Auvergne V Edinburgh on 2023/12/08 13 16.2 14.6 5.4
Black Lion V Gloucester Rugby on 2023/12/09 -5 17.9 17 5.5
Zebre V Cheetahs on 2023/12/09 -18 -15.5 -13.6 -2.8
Sharks V Pau on 2023/12/09 40 13 10.1 2.9
Castres Olympique V Scarlets on 2023/12/09 18 6.6 6.5 9.5
Ospreys V Benetton Treviso on 2023/12/09 9 -11.8 -9.6 1.9
Dragons V Oyonnax on 2023/12/09 17 -0.9 0.7 -2.6
Perpignan V Lions on 2023/12/10 -16 -10.7 -8.9 -0.1
Newcastle Falcons V Montpellier Herault on 2023/12/10 -5 -5.8 -5.5 -0.1
Gloucester Rugby V Clermont Auvergne on 2023/12/15 11 -6.3 -5.3 2.7
Scarlets V Black Lion on 2023/12/15 -16 -13.7 -13 -0.2
Lions V Newcastle Falcons on 2023/12/16 22 20.2 18.3 9.7
Pau V Dragons on 2023/12/16 3 8.8 8.3 13.3
Edinburgh V Castres Olympique on 2023/12/16 13 0.5 -0.3 4.1
Oyonnax V Zebre on 2023/12/16 -7 8.6 8.3 15.5
Benetton Treviso V Perpignan on 2023/12/16 22 10.8 9.5 8.4
Montpellier Herault V Ospreys on 2023/12/17 33 3.1 4.4 7.3
Cheetahs V Sharks on 2023/12/17 3 1.3 2.8 0.8
Newcastle Falcons V Benetton Treviso on 2024/01/12 -39 -16.1 -14.1 -1.2
Ospreys V Perpignan on 2024/01/12 22 9.6 7.5 6.6
Clermont Auvergne V Scarlets on 2024/01/13 21 2.3 2.3 11
Sharks V Oyonnax on 2024/01/13 31 12.3 11.5 6.7
Castres Olympique V Black Lion on 2024/01/13 22 -7.5 -5.2 3.1
Zebre V Dragons on 2024/01/13 3 -2.5 -1.9 0.2
Edinburgh V Gloucester Rugby on 2024/01/13 -1 12.7 10.1 6.1
Montpellier Herault V Lions on 2024/01/13 10 1.8 2.6 2.7
Cheetahs V Pau on 2024/01/14 -13 11 10.3 3.5
Gloucester Rugby V Castres Olympique on 2024/01/19 30 0.9 0 3.8
Scarlets V Edinburgh on 2024/01/19 -12 -17.8 -16.2 -2.4
Pau V Zebre on 2024/01/20 1 8.2 7.8 15.4
Black Lion V Clermont Auvergne on 2024/01/20 -33 5.5 6.1 5.4
Benetton Treviso V Montpellier Herault on 2024/01/20 8 5.3 3.8 3.8
Oyonnax V Cheetahs on 2024/01/20 1 -13 -14.1 3.7
Perpignan V Newcastle Falcons on 2024/01/21 -9 -1.7 -0.7 6.3
Lions V Ospreys on 2024/01/21 -10 15.2 16.3 8.7
Dragons V Sharks on 2024/01/21 -20 -13.1 -11.6 -2.5
Gloucester Rugby V Castres Olympique on 2024/04/05 5 6 4.8 5.5
Clermont Auvergne V Cheetahs on 2024/04/06 5 6.2 5.3 9.5
Benetton Treviso V Lions on 2024/04/06 10 4.4 3.8 2.5
Edinburgh V Bayonne on 2024/04/06 18 15 14 5.4
Ospreys V Sale Sharks on 2024/04/06 8 -2.9 -1.7 1
Montpellier Herault V Ulster on 2024/04/07 -23 2.5 2.4 3.4
Sharks V Zebre on 2024/04/07 44 16.4 14.5 15.4
Pau V Connacht on 2024/04/07 -10 -7 -6.3 3.9
Gloucester Rugby V Ospreys on 2024/04/12 10 2.8 2 6.1
Clermont Auvergne V Ulster on 2024/04/13 39 -2.2 -0.6 3.5
Sharks V Edinburgh on 2024/04/13 6 -0.7 -0.7 4.5
Benetton Treviso V Connacht on 2024/04/14 15 3.6 3.8 3.8
Sharks V Clermont Auvergne on 2024/05/04 1 7.1 6.9 3.7
Gloucester Rugby V Benetton Treviso on 2024/05/04 17 -7.3 -5.2 4.2

Model Accuracies

Model Percent Correct Predictions Spread Error
Club Level 80.0% 14.0
Player Level: Lineup 64.7% 13.5
Player Level: Minutes 64.0% 13.5