European Rugby Challenge Cup 25/26

Team Rankings

Club Rankings

Standings

Current Standings

Pool A

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
Montpellier Herault	4	4	42	0	3	19
Zebre	4	3	18	0	2	14
Connacht	4	2	108	2	3	13
Ospreys	4	2	5	2	3	13
Black Lion	4	1	-74	0	1	5
US Montauban	4	0	-99	1	1	2

Pool B

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
Benetton Treviso	4	4	93	0	3	19
Dragons	4	2	-52	0	1	9
Perpignan	4	1	4	1	1	8
Lions	4	1	-3	1	1	8
Lyon	4	0	-39	1	1	2

Pool C

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
Ulster	4	3	83	1	3	16
Stade Francais Paris	4	3	39	1	3	16
Exeter Chiefs	4	2	59	1	3	14
Cardiff Rugby	4	2	-30	0	1	9
Racing 92	4	1	-70	0	2	8
Cheetahs	4	0	-81	1	1	2

Projected Remaining Table

Pool A

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Pool B

Pool C

Projected Total Table

Pool A

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
Montpellier Herault	4	4	42	0	3	19
Zebre	4	3	18	0	2	14
Connacht	4	2	108	2	3	13
Ospreys	4	2	5	2	3	13
Black Lion	4	1	-74	0	1	5
US Montauban	4	0	-99	1	1	2

Pool B

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
Benetton Treviso	4	4	93	0	3	19
Dragons	4	2	-52	0	1	9
Perpignan	4	1	4	1	1	8
Lions	4	1	-3	1	1	8
Lyon	4	0	-39	1	1	2

Pool C

Club	Played	Wins	Point Differential	Losing Bonus Points	Try Bonus Points	Competition Points
Ulster	4	3	83	1	3	16
Stade Francais Paris	4	3	39	1	3	16
Exeter Chiefs	4	2	59	1	3	14
Cardiff Rugby	4	2	-30	0	1	9
Racing 92	4	1	-70	0	2	8
Cheetahs	4	0	-81	1	1	2

Projected Playoff Results

	Reach Round of 16	Win Round of 16	Reach Quarterfinal	Win Quarterfinal	Reach Semifinal	Win Semifinal	Reach Final	Win Final
Stade Francais Paris	100.0 %	73.8 %	73.8 %	52.5 %	52.5 %	24.6 %	24.6 %	16.6 %
Benetton Treviso	100.0 %	66.9 %	66.9 %	39.2 %	39.2 %	23.5 %	23.5 %	13.8 %
Montpellier Herault	100.0 %	74.0 %	74.0 %	49.6 %	49.6 %	34.8 %	34.8 %	13.6 %
Connacht	100.0 %	63.0 %	63.0 %	26.5 %	26.5 %	15.2 %	15.2 %	9.4 %
Exeter Chiefs	100.0 %	70.5 %	70.5 %	28.4 %	28.4 %	19.9 %	19.9 %	8.7 %
Ulster	100.0 %	73.1 %	73.1 %	51.4 %	51.4 %	19.1 %	19.1 %	7.1 %
Lions	100.0 %	33.1 %	33.1 %	17.5 %	17.5 %	10.2 %	10.2 %	6.4 %
Pau	100.0 %	65.1 %	65.1 %	25.1 %	25.1 %	9.8 %	9.8 %	6.2 %
Sharks	100.0 %	37.0 %	37.0 %	16.8 %	16.8 %	10.1 %	10.1 %	5.4 %
Cardiff Rugby	100.0 %	26.0 %	26.0 %	13.0 %	13.0 %	7.1 %	7.1 %	3.2 %
La Rochelle	100.0 %	47.6 %	47.6 %	18.0 %	18.0 %	5.6 %	5.6 %	2.1 %
Munster	100.0 %	29.5 %	29.5 %	9.0 %	9.0 %	5.0 %	5.0 %	1.9 %
Ospreys	100.0 %	26.9 %	26.9 %	15.5 %	15.5 %	4.5 %	4.5 %	1.7 %
Zebre	100.0 %	34.9 %	34.9 %	9.9 %	9.9 %	3.4 %	3.4 %	1.7 %
Perpignan	100.0 %	26.2 %	26.2 %	12.5 %	12.5 %	3.2 %	3.2 %	1.3 %
Dragons	100.0 %	52.4 %	52.4 %	15.1 %	15.1 %	4.0 %	4.0 %	0.9 %

Completed Match Review

Model	Percent Correct Predictions	Spread Error
Club Level	63.0%	9.7
Player Level: Lineup	nan%	nan
Player Level: Minutes	nan%	nan

Future Predictions

Week 5

Connacht V Sharks on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Connacht by 3.0

Zebre V Pau on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Pau by 2.8

Exeter Chiefs V Munster on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Exeter Chiefs by 5.1

Dragons V La Rochelle on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Dragons by 1.3

Benetton Treviso V Lions on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 4.0

Stade Francais Paris V Perpignan on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 8.1

Montpellier Herault V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 6.9

Ulster V Ospreys on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Ulster by 6.7

Week 6

Lions V Sharks on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Lions by 0.9

Benetton Treviso V Connacht on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 3.0

Lions V Connacht on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Lions by 0.5

Benetton Treviso V Sharks on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 1.8

Ulster V Dragons on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Ulster by 7.5

Ospreys V Dragons on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Ospreys by 4.0

Ulster V La Rochelle on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Ulster by 5.0

Ospreys V La Rochelle on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 0.2

Stade Francais Paris V Pau on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 4.0

Perpignan V Pau on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Pau by 1.2

Stade Francais Paris V Zebre on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 9.6

Perpignan V Zebre on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Perpignan by 3.2

Montpellier Herault V Munster on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 6.0

Montpellier Herault V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 2.9

Cardiff Rugby V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Exeter Chiefs by 0.6

Cardiff Rugby V Munster on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Munster by 0.0

Week 7

Sharks V Stade Francais Paris on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Sharks by 1.0

Cardiff Rugby V Ospreys on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 2.7

Cardiff Rugby V La Rochelle on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 5.8

Munster V La Rochelle on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 1.6

Montpellier Herault V Ospreys on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 8.8

Munster V Dragons on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Munster by 4.0

Munster V Ulster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Munster by 2.3

Exeter Chiefs V La Rochelle on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Exeter Chiefs by 5.9

Cardiff Rugby V Ulster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 1.3

Exeter Chiefs V Ospreys on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Exeter Chiefs by 6.2

Exeter Chiefs V Ulster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Exeter Chiefs by 5.1

Montpellier Herault V La Rochelle on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 6.1

Montpellier Herault V Dragons on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 6.7

Exeter Chiefs V Dragons on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Exeter Chiefs by 5.4

Montpellier Herault V Ulster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 2.9

Sharks V Zebre on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Sharks by 5.7

Connacht V Perpignan on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Connacht by 4.9

Benetton Treviso V Perpignan on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 7.0

Benetton Treviso V Zebre on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 3.1

Benetton Treviso V Pau on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 4.2

Sharks V Perpignan on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Sharks by 12.5

Connacht V Zebre on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Connacht by 4.8

Sharks V Pau on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Sharks by 1.3

Connacht V Stade Francais Paris on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Connacht by 0.6

Lions V Stade Francais Paris on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Lions by 2.3

Lions V Perpignan on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Lions by 6.8

Lions V Zebre on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Lions by 10.3

Benetton Treviso V Stade Francais Paris on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 1.1

Connacht V Pau on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Connacht by 1.7

Lions V Pau on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Lions by 2.2

Munster V Ospreys on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Ospreys by 3.0

Cardiff Rugby V Dragons on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 7.8

Final

Stade Francais Paris V Montpellier Herault on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 2.8

Sharks V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 4.8

Connacht V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Connacht by 6.4

Pau V Montpellier Herault on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 3.3

Connacht V Munster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Connacht by 1.2

Zebre V Ulster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Zebre by 3.4

Stade Francais Paris V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 1.8

Benetton Treviso V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 5.2

Stade Francais Paris V Dragons on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 4.4

Perpignan V Montpellier Herault on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 0.9

Perpignan V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Perpignan by 0.4

Perpignan V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Perpignan by 3.5

Stade Francais Paris V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 7.0

Connacht V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Connacht by 3.3

Perpignan V Dragons on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Dragons by 4.0

Zebre V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 2.0

Pau V Ospreys on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 11.7

Sharks V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Sharks by 4.6

Pau V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 6.0

Perpignan V Ulster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Perpignan by 1.7

Lions V Munster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Lions by 0.4

Sharks V Ospreys on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Sharks by 0.2

Sharks V Dragons on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Dragons by 3.0

Zebre V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Zebre by 5.5

Zebre V Ospreys on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Zebre by 14.0

Zebre V Dragons on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Dragons by 3.0

Lions V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Lions by 1.9

Connacht V Ospreys on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Ospreys by 5.0

Lions V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 3.5

Sharks V Ulster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Ulster by 0.2

Lions V Ospreys on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Lions by 2.8

Connacht V Dragons on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Connacht by 10.6

Lions V Ulster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Lions by 2.6

Connacht V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Connacht by 3.9

Stade Francais Paris V Ulster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 4.1

Sharks V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Sharks by 0.3

Lions V Montpellier Herault on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Lions by 2.6

Perpignan V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Perpignan by 1.5

Stade Francais Paris V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 1.9

Pau V Ulster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 1.8

Zebre V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Exeter Chiefs by 4.3

Benetton Treviso V Montpellier Herault on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 2.9

Benetton Treviso V Ulster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 2.1

Lions V Dragons on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Lions by 7.0

Connacht V Montpellier Herault on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Connacht by 1.8

Zebre V Munster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Zebre by 3.0

Stade Francais Paris V Ospreys on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 5.0

Benetton Treviso V Ospreys on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 3.2

Lions V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Exeter Chiefs by 3.5

Zebre V Montpellier Herault on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Montpellier Herault by 4.1

Connacht V Ulster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Connacht by 1.1

Benetton Treviso V Dragons on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 8.5

Benetton Treviso V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 0.8

Pau V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 6.8

Pau V Dragons on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 12.4

Sharks V Montpellier Herault on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Sharks by 4.2

Benetton Treviso V Munster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Benetton Treviso by 0.9

Pau V Exeter Chiefs on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 2.5

Benetton Treviso V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 1.9

Stade Francais Paris V Munster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Francais Paris by 5.4

Pau V Munster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 2.0

Sharks V Munster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Sharks by 3.5