European Rugby Champions Cup 25/26

Team Rankings

Club Rankings

Standings

Current Standings

Pool A

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Glasgow Warriors 4 4 49 0 4 20
Stade Toulousain 4 2 94 2 2 12
Sale Sharks 4 2 -38 1 2 11
Saracens 4 2 13 1 1 10
Sharks 4 2 -10 0 2 10
Clermont Auvergne 4 0 -108 0   0

Pool B

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Bath Rugby 4 3 91 0 4 16
Toulon 4 3 17 0 2 14
Castres Olympique 4 2 -8 0 2 10
Edinburgh 4 2 -71 0 1 9
Munster 4 1 -2 2 2 8
Gloucester Rugby 4 1 -27 1 1 6

Pool C

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Leinster 4 4 35 0 2 18
Harlequins 4 3 98 0 2 14
Stormers 4 3 -8 0 2 14
Leicester Tigers 4 1 3 0 2 6
La Rochelle 4 1 -13 1 1 6
Bayonne 4 0 -115 0   0

Pool D

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Bordeaux Begles 4 4 76 0 4 20
Northampton Saints 4 3 46 0 4 16
Bristol Rugby 4 3 50 0 2 14
Bulls 4 1 -68 0 3 7
Pau 4 1 -50 1 1 6
Scarlets 4 0 -54 1 2 3

Projected Remaining Table

Pool A

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Pool B

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Pool C

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Pool D

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Projected Total Table

Pool A

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Glasgow Warriors 4 4 49 0 4 20
Stade Toulousain 4 2 94 2 2 12
Sale Sharks 4 2 -38 1 2 11
Saracens 4 2 13 1 1 10
Sharks 4 2 -10 0 2 10
Clermont Auvergne 4 0 -108 0   0

Pool B

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Bath Rugby 4 3 91 0 4 16
Toulon 4 3 17 0 2 14
Castres Olympique 4 2 -8 0 2 10
Edinburgh 4 2 -71 0 1 9
Munster 4 1 -2 2 2 8
Gloucester Rugby 4 1 -27 1 1 6

Pool C

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Leinster 4 4 35 0 2 18
Harlequins 4 3 98 0 2 14
Stormers 4 3 -8 0 2 14
Leicester Tigers 4 1 3 0 2 6
La Rochelle 4 1 -13 1 1 6
Bayonne 4 0 -115 0   0

Pool D

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Bordeaux Begles 4 4 76 0 4 20
Northampton Saints 4 3 46 0 4 16
Bristol Rugby 4 3 50 0 2 14
Bulls 4 1 -68 0 3 7
Pau 4 1 -50 1 1 6
Scarlets 4 0 -54 1 2 3

Projected Playoff Results

  Reach Round of 16 Win Round of 16 Reach Quarterfinal Win Quarterfinal Reach Semifinal Win Semifinal Reach Final Win Final
Stade Toulousain 100.0 % 74.8 % 74.8 % 33.8 % 33.8 % 23.5 % 23.5 % 17.1 %
Bordeaux Begles 100.0 % 66.0 % 66.0 % 40.5 % 40.5 % 25.3 % 25.3 % 16.9 %
Glasgow Warriors 100.0 % 70.6 % 70.6 % 51.0 % 51.0 % 35.1 % 35.1 % 12.8 %
Bath Rugby 100.0 % 69.5 % 69.5 % 48.5 % 48.5 % 18.2 % 18.2 % 11.4 %
Leinster 100.0 % 74.1 % 74.1 % 52.2 % 52.2 % 24.3 % 24.3 % 8.9 %
Leicester Tigers 100.0 % 34.0 % 34.0 % 19.7 % 19.7 % 12.1 % 12.1 % 8.2 %
Northampton Saints 100.0 % 74.5 % 74.5 % 28.3 % 28.3 % 11.3 % 11.3 % 8.1 %
Saracens 100.0 % 30.5 % 30.5 % 17.4 % 17.4 % 5.1 % 5.1 % 3.4 %
Stormers 100.0 % 40.2 % 40.2 % 14.2 % 14.2 % 8.0 % 8.0 % 2.5 %
Toulon 100.0 % 59.8 % 59.8 % 17.4 % 17.4 % 9.2 % 9.2 % 2.1 %
Bristol Rugby 100.0 % 25.2 % 25.2 % 6.0 % 6.0 % 3.0 % 3.0 % 1.9 %
Edinburgh 100.0 % 25.9 % 25.9 % 15.4 % 15.4 % 4.7 % 4.7 % 1.8 %
Bulls 100.0 % 29.4 % 29.4 % 17.4 % 17.4 % 8.7 % 8.7 % 1.6 %
Harlequins 100.0 % 54.1 % 54.1 % 17.7 % 17.7 % 5.0 % 5.0 % 1.5 %
Sale Sharks 100.0 % 45.9 % 45.9 % 14.7 % 14.7 % 5.0 % 5.0 % 1.0 %
Castres Olympique 100.0 % 25.5 % 25.5 % 5.8 % 5.8 % 1.5 % 1.5 % 0.8 %

Completed Match Review

Model Percent Correct Predictions Spread Error
Club Level 70.1% 10.8
Player Level: Lineup nan% nan
Player Level: Minutes nan% nan

Future Predictions

Week 5

Bath Rugby V Saracens on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 4.7

Glasgow Warriors V Bulls on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 5.9

Leinster V Edinburgh on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Leinster by 7.9

Harlequins V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Harlequins by 1.4

Stade Toulousain V Bristol Rugby on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 7.7

Toulon V Stormers on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Toulon by 2.3

Bordeaux Begles V Leicester Tigers on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 3.5

Northampton Saints V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 7.2

Week 6

Glasgow Warriors V Toulon on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 7.2

Glasgow Warriors V Stormers on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 5.5

Bulls V Toulon on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bulls by 3.7

Bulls V Stormers on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bulls by 1.5

Bordeaux Begles V Stade Toulousain on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 1.3

Bordeaux Begles V Bristol Rugby on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 7.2

Leicester Tigers V Stade Toulousain on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 1.3

Leicester Tigers V Bristol Rugby on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 4.6

Leinster V Harlequins on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Leinster by 6.4

Edinburgh V Harlequins on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Edinburgh by 2.6

Leinster V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Leinster by 7.0

Edinburgh V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Edinburgh by 2.4

Bath Rugby V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 3.7

Saracens V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Saracens by 1.3

Bath Rugby V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 8.0

Saracens V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Saracens by 5.9

Week 7

Glasgow Warriors V Harlequins on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 6.8

Bristol Rugby V Bath Rugby on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 0.6

Leicester Tigers V Saracens on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 3.6

Bristol Rugby V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 1.8

Leicester Tigers V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 6.7

Stade Toulousain V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 8.0

Stade Toulousain V Saracens on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 7.4

Leicester Tigers V Bath Rugby on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 1.8

Bristol Rugby V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 0.8

Leicester Tigers V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 0.7

Stade Toulousain V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 4.1

Bordeaux Begles V Saracens on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 5.4

Stade Toulousain V Bath Rugby on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 5.4

Bordeaux Begles V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 2.5

Bordeaux Begles V Bath Rugby on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 1.4

Bulls V Edinburgh on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bulls by 2.1

Toulon V Edinburgh on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Toulon by 5.5

Stormers V Leinster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stormers by 0.1

Stormers V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stormers by 2.3

Stormers V Edinburgh on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stormers by 6.1

Bulls V Harlequins on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bulls by 3.3

Stormers V Harlequins on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stormers by 6.4

Toulon V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Toulon by 1.3

Toulon V Leinster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Leinster by 0.2

Bulls V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bulls by 4.8

Glasgow Warriors V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 7.3

Bulls V Leinster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Leinster by 0.5

Toulon V Harlequins on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Toulon by 2.6

Glasgow Warriors V Leinster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 3.4

Glasgow Warriors V Edinburgh on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 8.2

Bordeaux Begles V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 8.7

Bristol Rugby V Saracens on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 3.8

Final

Bordeaux Begles V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 1.7

Bordeaux Begles V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 2.2

Bordeaux Begles V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 5.6

Northampton Saints V Bulls on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 9.9

Bristol Rugby V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 4.0

Stade Toulousain V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 12.6

Stade Toulousain V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 4.1

Saracens V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Saracens by 6.8

Leicester Tigers V Sale Sharks on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 9.5

Leicester Tigers V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 3.0

Leicester Tigers V Bulls on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 8.2

Northampton Saints V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 9.6

Bath Rugby V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stormers by 0.9

Bordeaux Begles V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 7.7

Castres Olympique V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Castres Olympique by 2.0

Castres Olympique V Bulls on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Castres Olympique by 2.5

Stade Toulousain V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 5.1

Bristol Rugby V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 8.0

Bristol Rugby V Bulls on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 4.7

Stade Toulousain V Sale Sharks on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 1.4

Northampton Saints V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 10.0

Saracens V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Harlequins by 0.0

Leicester Tigers V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Edinburgh by 10.5

Bordeaux Begles V Sale Sharks on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 5.2

Castres Olympique V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Toulon by 19.0

Saracens V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Saracens by 6.0

Saracens V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Saracens by 13.0

Northampton Saints V Sale Sharks on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 6.0

Bath Rugby V Sale Sharks on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 7.3

Stade Toulousain V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 9.6

Saracens V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Saracens by 4.9

Stade Toulousain V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 5.9

Bordeaux Begles V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 7.7

Stade Toulousain V Bulls on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 7.1

Leicester Tigers V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 2.8

Northampton Saints V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 7.8

Bristol Rugby V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 0.3

Bordeaux Begles V Bulls on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 9.3

Saracens V Sale Sharks on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Saracens by 6.5

Bath Rugby V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 0.8

Bath Rugby V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 4.0

Castres Olympique V Sale Sharks on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Castres Olympique by 13.0

Leicester Tigers V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 1.1

Bath Rugby V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 0.8

Bristol Rugby V Sale Sharks on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 9.5

Northampton Saints V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 2.8

Bath Rugby V Bulls on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 3.4

Bath Rugby V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 4.8

Leicester Tigers V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 8.4

Leicester Tigers V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leicester Tigers by 2.9

Stade Toulousain V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 4.8

Saracens V Bulls on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Saracens by 3.0

Bordeaux Begles V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 1.8

Bath Rugby V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 2.1

Northampton Saints V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 0.9

Saracens V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Saracens by 0.4

Castres Olympique V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Castres Olympique by 2.6

Northampton Saints V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 9.3

Castres Olympique V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leinster by 1.0

Bristol Rugby V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 6.0