European Rugby Champions Cup 25/26

Team Rankings

Club Rankings

Standings

Current Standings

Pool A

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Glasgow Warriors 4 4 49 0 1 17
Stade Toulousain 4 2 94 2 1 11
Saracens 4 2 13 1 1 10
Sale Sharks 4 2 -38 1   9
Sharks 4 2 -10 0   8
Clermont Auvergne 4 0 -108 0   0

Pool B

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Bath Rugby 4 3 91 0 1 13
Toulon 4 3 17 0   12
Castres Olympique 4 2 -8 0   8
Edinburgh 4 2 -71 0   8
Munster 4 1 -2 2   6
Gloucester Rugby 4 1 -27 1 1 6

Pool C

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Leinster 4 4 35 0 1 17
Harlequins 4 3 98 0   12
Stormers 4 3 -8 0   12
La Rochelle 4 1 -13 1 1 6
Leicester Tigers 4 1 3 0   4
Bayonne 4 0 -115 0   0

Pool D

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Bordeaux Begles 4 4 76 0 1 17
Northampton Saints 4 3 46 0 1 13
Bristol Rugby 4 3 50 0   12
Pau 4 1 -50 1   5
Bulls 4 1 -68 0 1 5
Scarlets 4 0 -54 1   1

Projected Remaining Table

Pool A

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Pool B

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Pool C

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Pool D

| Club | To Play | Projected Wins | Projected Differential | Projected Losing Bonus Points | Projected Try Bonus Points | Projected Competition Points | |——–|———–|——————|————————–|———————————|——————————|——————————–|

Projected Total Table

Pool A

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Glasgow Warriors 4 4 49 0 1 17
Stade Toulousain 4 2 94 2 1 11
Saracens 4 2 13 1 1 10
Sale Sharks 4 2 -38 1   9
Sharks 4 2 -10 0   8
Clermont Auvergne 4 0 -108 0   0

Pool B

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Bath Rugby 4 3 91 0 1 13
Toulon 4 3 17 0   12
Castres Olympique 4 2 -8 0   8
Edinburgh 4 2 -71 0   8
Munster 4 1 -2 2   6
Gloucester Rugby 4 1 -27 1 1 6

Pool C

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Leinster 4 4 35 0 1 17
Harlequins 4 3 98 0   12
Stormers 4 3 -8 0   12
La Rochelle 4 1 -13 1 1 6
Leicester Tigers 4 1 3 0   4
Bayonne 4 0 -115 0   0

Pool D

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Bordeaux Begles 4 4 76 0 1 17
Northampton Saints 4 3 46 0 1 13
Bristol Rugby 4 3 50 0   12
Pau 4 1 -50 1   5
Bulls 4 1 -68 0 1 5
Scarlets 4 0 -54 1   1

Projected Playoff Results

  Reach Round of 16 Win Round of 16 Reach Quarterfinal Win Quarterfinal Reach Semifinal Win Semifinal Reach Final Win Final
Bordeaux Begles 100.0 % 76.0 % 76.0 % 52.0 % 52.0 % 33.0 % 33.0 % 16.0 %
Stade Toulousain 100.0 % 73.0 % 73.0 % 31.0 % 31.0 % 19.0 % 19.0 % 16.0 %
Bath Rugby 100.0 % 64.0 % 64.0 % 45.0 % 45.0 % 22.0 % 22.0 % 15.0 %
Glasgow Warriors 100.0 % 75.0 % 75.0 % 45.0 % 45.0 % 29.0 % 29.0 % 13.0 %
Leinster 100.0 % 64.0 % 64.0 % 43.0 % 43.0 % 17.0 % 17.0 % 10.0 %
Sale Sharks 100.0 % 36.0 % 36.0 % 21.0 % 21.0 % 6.0 % 6.0 % 5.0 %
Stormers 100.0 % 35.0 % 35.0 % 17.0 % 17.0 % 9.0 % 9.0 % 4.0 %
Toulon 100.0 % 65.0 % 65.0 % 24.0 % 24.0 % 15.0 % 15.0 % 3.0 %
Saracens 100.0 % 59.0 % 59.0 % 27.0 % 27.0 % 12.0 % 12.0 % 3.0 %
Northampton Saints 100.0 % 75.0 % 75.0 % 28.0 % 28.0 % 9.0 % 9.0 % 3.0 %
La Rochelle 100.0 % 25.0 % 25.0 % 14.0 % 14.0 % 9.0 % 9.0 % 3.0 %
Edinburgh 100.0 % 36.0 % 36.0 % 19.0 % 19.0 % 6.0 % 6.0 % 3.0 %
Pau 100.0 % 24.0 % 24.0 % 14.0 % 14.0 % 5.0 % 5.0 % 3.0 %
Harlequins 100.0 % 41.0 % 41.0 % 11.0 % 11.0 % 3.0 % 3.0 % 2.0 %
Castres Olympique 100.0 % 25.0 % 25.0 % 6.0 % 6.0 % 4.0 % 4.0 % 1.0 %
Bristol Rugby 100.0 % 27.0 % 27.0 % 3.0 % 3.0 % 2.0 % 2.0 % 0.0 %

Completed Match Review

Model Percent Correct Predictions Spread Error
Club Level 63.3% 11.9
Player Level: Lineup nan% nan
Player Level: Minutes nan% nan

Future Predictions

Week 5

Leinster V Edinburgh on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Leinster by 5.6

Harlequins V Saracens on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Saracens by 0.4

Northampton Saints V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 5.4

Glasgow Warriors V La Rochelle on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 6.9

Bath Rugby V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 4.7

Bordeaux Begles V Pau on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 6.1

Stade Toulousain V Bristol Rugby on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 5.5

Toulon V Stormers on 2026-04-02

Average Margin: Toulon by 3.3

Week 6

Pau V Stade Toulousain on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 1.1

Bordeaux Begles V Bristol Rugby on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 8.8

Bordeaux Begles V Stade Toulousain on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 2.1

Pau V Bristol Rugby on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Pau by 9.5

Glasgow Warriors V Stormers on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 3.8

La Rochelle V Stormers on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 1.6

Glasgow Warriors V Toulon on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 5.1

La Rochelle V Toulon on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 3.5

Bath Rugby V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 1.5

Sale Sharks V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Sale Sharks by 3.8

Sale Sharks V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Sale Sharks by 4.5

Bath Rugby V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 8.4

Leinster V Harlequins on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Leinster by 5.8

Leinster V Saracens on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Leinster by 3.2

Edinburgh V Saracens on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Edinburgh by 0.4

Edinburgh V Harlequins on 2026-04-09

Average Margin: Edinburgh by 4.7

Week 7

Pau V Bath Rugby on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 6.7

La Rochelle V Edinburgh on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 9.0

Glasgow Warriors V Harlequins on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 7.3

Toulon V Harlequins on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Harlequins by 8.0

Stormers V Saracens on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Saracens by 4.2

La Rochelle V Leinster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 1.8

Glasgow Warriors V Saracens on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 1.5

Glasgow Warriors V Edinburgh on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 4.9

Toulon V Edinburgh on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Toulon by 1.3

Stormers V Edinburgh on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stormers by 5.7

Toulon V Saracens on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Toulon by 6.1

Toulon V Leinster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Toulon by 5.8

Glasgow Warriors V Leinster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Leinster by 0.8

La Rochelle V Harlequins on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 15.0

La Rochelle V Saracens on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: La Rochelle by 6.4

Pau V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Castres Olympique by 3.0

Bordeaux Begles V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Castres Olympique by 6.0

Bristol Rugby V Bath Rugby on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 17.0

Bristol Rugby V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bristol Rugby by 7.0

Pau V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Pau by 1.0

Stade Toulousain V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 2.4

Stade Toulousain V Castres Olympique on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 3.7

Bordeaux Begles V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 6.5

Stade Toulousain V Bath Rugby on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 2.5

Bordeaux Begles V Northampton Saints on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 6.1

Stade Toulousain V Sale Sharks on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 8.9

Bordeaux Begles V Bath Rugby on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 0.3

Stormers V Leinster on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stormers by 0.6

Stormers V Harlequins on 2026-04-30

Average Margin: Stormers by 2.0

Final

Bath Rugby V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stormers by 1.7

Pau V Saracens on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 8.0

Bath Rugby V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 4.5

Bristol Rugby V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Toulon by 0.0

Sale Sharks V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 3.0

Bath Rugby V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 1.0

Stade Toulousain V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 6.0

Northampton Saints V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 3.5

Bath Rugby V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 17.0

Bordeaux Begles V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Edinburgh by 8.0

Bordeaux Begles V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 1.9

Bordeaux Begles V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 3.2

Northampton Saints V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leinster by 7.5

Pau V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Toulon by 6.0

Northampton Saints V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 2.0

Castres Olympique V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 7.0

Pau V La Rochelle on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Pau by 19.5

Bath Rugby V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 9.4

Bordeaux Begles V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 4.0

Stade Toulousain V Edinburgh on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 25.0

Bath Rugby V Saracens on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 6.0

Bordeaux Begles V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 2.0

Stade Toulousain V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 4.1

Bordeaux Begles V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 12.0

Bath Rugby V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bath Rugby by 4.8

Sale Sharks V Saracens on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Sale Sharks by 9.3

Northampton Saints V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Northampton Saints by 10.0

Bath Rugby V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Harlequins by 6.0

Castres Olympique V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leinster by 7.0

Northampton Saints V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 5.5

Bordeaux Begles V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 12.5

Pau V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Leinster by 2.0

Bordeaux Begles V Saracens on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Bordeaux Begles by 8.8

Bristol Rugby V Harlequins on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Harlequins by 4.0

Stade Toulousain V Saracens on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Saracens by 24.0

Castres Olympique V Stormers on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stormers by 3.0

Stade Toulousain V Toulon on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Stade Toulousain by 10.7

Sale Sharks V Leinster on 2026-05-21

Average Margin: Sale Sharks by 8.0