United Rugby Championship 25/26

Team Rankings

Club Rankings

Standings

Current Standings

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Glasgow Warriors 16 11 114 2 11 57
Stormers 16 12 166 0 7 55
Leinster 16 10 67 2 11 53
Lions 16 10 90 2 8 52
Munster 16 10 32 3 7 50
Bulls 16 10 99 1 8 49
Ulster 17 9 78 3 8 49
Cardiff Rugby 16 10 -2 4 3 47
Connacht 16 8 7 4 8 44
Sharks 16 6 -35 3 7 36
Ospreys 16 6 -31 3 4 35
Edinburgh 17 6 -65 4 5 35
Benetton Treviso 16 6 -101 1 4 33
Dragons 16 3 -122 4 3 25
Scarlets 16 4 -92 4 2 24
Zebre 16 2 -205 4 3 15

Projected Remaining Table

Club To Play Projected Wins Projected Differential Projected Losing Bonus Points Projected Try Bonus Points Projected Competition Points
Bulls 3 2.275 24.953 0.429   9.683
Connacht 3 2.056 13.423 0.64   9.12
Sharks 3 1.871 10.628 0.509   8.125
Leinster 2 1.897 24.314 0.075   7.711
Stormers 3 1.337 -1.761 0.964   6.606
Ulster 2 1.425 8.618 0.385   6.311
Lions 3 1.085 -7.636 0.781   5.285
Glasgow Warriors 2 1.164 6.683 0.446   5.248
Scarlets 3 0.986 -10.991 0.846   5
Dragons 2 1.041 1.68 0.532   4.85
Munster 2 1.012 0.842 0.547   4.739
Ospreys 2 0.877 -6.427 0.234   3.806
Edinburgh 2 0.587 -7.221 0.738   3.264
Cardiff Rugby 2 0.486 -11.82 0.603   2.661
Benetton Treviso 2 0.244 -17.173 0.573   1.653
Zebre 2 0.054 -28.112 0.298   0.538

Projected Total Table

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Glasgow Warriors 18 12.164 120.683 2.446 11 62.248
Stormers 19 13.337 164.239 0.964 7 61.606
Leinster 18 11.897 91.314 2.075 11 60.711
Bulls 19 12.275 123.953 1.429 8 58.683
Lions 19 11.085 82.364 2.781 8 57.285
Ulster 19 10.425 86.618 3.385 8 55.311
Munster 18 11.012 32.842 3.547 7 54.739
Connacht 19 10.056 20.423 4.64 8 53.12
Cardiff Rugby 18 10.486 -13.82 4.603 3 49.661
Sharks 19 7.871 -24.372 3.509 7 44.125
Ospreys 18 6.877 -37.427 3.234 4 38.806
Edinburgh 19 6.587 -72.221 4.738 5 38.264
Benetton Treviso 18 6.244 -118.173 1.573 4 34.653
Dragons 18 4.041 -120.32 4.532 3 29.85
Scarlets 19 4.986 -102.991 4.846 2 29
Zebre 18 2.054 -233.112 4.298 3 15.538

Projected Playoff Results

  Reach Quarterfinal Win Quarterfinal Reach Semifinal Win Semifinal Reach Final Win Final
Stormers 100.0 % 78.1 % 78.1 % 54.3 % 54.3 % 34.0 %
Glasgow Warriors 100.0 % 81.9 % 81.9 % 57.0 % 57.0 % 23.0 %
Leinster 100.0 % 90.5 % 90.5 % 37.5 % 37.5 % 15.0 %
Munster 97.8 % 22.9 % 22.9 % 12.8 % 12.8 % 7.9 %
Bulls 100.0 % 42.8 % 42.8 % 10.4 % 10.4 % 6.9 %
Lions 100.0 % 48.6 % 48.6 % 10.0 % 10.0 % 6.6 %
Connacht 95.1 % 15.1 % 15.1 % 9.7 % 9.7 % 4.7 %
Ulster 98.7 % 19.4 % 19.4 % 7.8 % 7.8 % 1.6 %
Cardiff Rugby 8.4 % 0.7 % 0.7 % 0.5 % 0.5 % 0.3 %

Completed Match Review

Model Percent Correct Predictions Spread Error
Club Level 71.1% 9.0
Player Level: Lineup nan% nan
Player Level: Minutes nan% nan

Future Predictions

Week 18

Connacht V Scarlets on 2025/10/04

Average Margin: Connacht by 7.5

Week 19

Bulls V Stormers on 2025/12/25

Average Margin: Stormers by 1.7

Lions V Sharks on 2025/12/25

Average Margin: Lions by 8.0

Week 20

Ulster V Stormers on 2026/05/08

Average Margin: Ulster by 4.4

Glasgow Warriors V Cardiff Rugby on 2026/05/08

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 10.9

Leinster V Lions on 2026/05/09

Average Margin: Leinster by 10.2

Connacht V Munster on 2026/05/09

Average Margin: Connacht by 4.6

Sharks V Benetton Treviso on 2026/05/09

Average Margin: Sharks by 6.2

Bulls V Zebre on 2026/05/09

Average Margin: Bulls by 15.7

Dragons V Edinburgh on 2026/05/09

Average Margin: Dragons by 5.8

Ospreys V Scarlets on 2026/05/09

Average Margin: Ospreys by 7.7

Week 21

Ulster V Glasgow Warriors on 2026/05/15

Average Margin: Ulster by 4.3

Cardiff Rugby V Stormers on 2026/05/15

Average Margin: Stormers by 0.9

Edinburgh V Connacht on 2026/05/15

Average Margin: Connacht by 1.4

Leinster V Ospreys on 2026/05/16

Average Margin: Leinster by 14.1

Munster V Lions on 2026/05/16

Average Margin: Munster by 5.4

Sharks V Zebre on 2026/05/16

Average Margin: Sharks by 12.4

Bulls V Benetton Treviso on 2026/05/16

Average Margin: Bulls by 10.9

Scarlets V Dragons on 2026/05/16

Average Margin: Scarlets by 4.1

Week 22

Leinster V Connacht on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Leinster by 9.9

Ulster V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Ulster by 6.7

Munster V Lions on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Munster by 6.5

Ulster V Lions on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Ulster by 5.8

Lions V Bulls on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Lions by 4.3

Lions V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Lions by 16.0

Stormers V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Stormers by 9.8

Leinster V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Leinster by 14.2

Glasgow Warriors V Cardiff Rugby on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 11.9

Glasgow Warriors V Leinster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 17.0

Glasgow Warriors V Munster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 12.0

Stormers V Leinster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Stormers by 5.0

Bulls V Munster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Munster by 7.0

Stormers V Bulls on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Stormers by 5.0

Bulls V Connacht on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Connacht by 0.3

Stormers V Munster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Stormers by 3.3

Glasgow Warriors V Connacht on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 6.3

Lions V Munster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Lions by 2.3

Leinster V Ulster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Leinster by 9.6

Leinster V Munster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Leinster by 7.4

Stormers V Ulster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Stormers by 7.8

Stormers V Connacht on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Stormers by 6.4

Leinster V Lions on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Leinster by 9.6

Stormers V Lions on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Stormers by 9.3

Munster V Ulster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Munster by 7.5

Glasgow Warriors V Bulls on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 7.3

Bulls V Lions on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Bulls by 5.3

Lions V Ulster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Lions by 5.0

Lions V Connacht on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Lions by 5.8

Bulls V Ulster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Bulls by 7.8

Glasgow Warriors V Ulster on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 8.1

Glasgow Warriors V Lions on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 8.6

Leinster V Bulls on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Leinster by 10.6

Bulls V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-05-29

Average Margin: Bulls by 10.3

Week 23

Stormers V Bulls on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Stormers by 5.2

Cardiff Rugby V Bulls on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 13.0

Ulster V Bulls on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Bulls by 0.5

Connacht V Leinster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Connacht by 1.2

Cardiff Rugby V Lions on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 2.7

Cardiff Rugby V Munster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 1.0

Cardiff Rugby V Leinster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 3.0

Leinster V Lions on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Leinster by 6.6

Lions V Bulls on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Bulls by 4.0

Glasgow Warriors V Leinster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 3.3

Stormers V Connacht on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Stormers by 8.0

Munster V Stormers on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Munster by 5.0

Munster V Connacht on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Connacht by 0.2

Ulster V Connacht on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Ulster by 7.6

Lions V Ulster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Lions by 7.5

Ulster V Leinster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Ulster by 3.4

Glasgow Warriors V Munster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 7.9

Stormers V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Stormers by 7.4

Leinster V Ulster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Leinster by 8.1

Munster V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Munster by 5.7

Munster V Ulster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Munster by 8.0

Ulster V Lions on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Ulster by 6.6

Stormers V Lions on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Stormers by 6.7

Munster V Lions on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Munster by 4.7

Glasgow Warriors V Lions on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 7.4

Glasgow Warriors V Bulls on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 6.0

Connacht V Bulls on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Connacht by 4.5

Stormers V Ulster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Stormers by 5.9

Connacht V Munster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Connacht by 5.3

Leinster V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Leinster by 6.4

Lions V Munster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Lions by 3.9

Connacht V Lions on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Connacht by 6.7

Stormers V Munster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Stormers by 5.2

Munster V Bulls on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Munster by 6.8

Stormers V Leinster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Stormers by 2.4

Connacht V Ulster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Connacht by 4.4

Glasgow Warriors V Ulster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 4.4

Munster V Leinster on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Munster by 1.8

Glasgow Warriors V Connacht on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 0.2

Leinster V Bulls on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Leinster by 10.2

Glasgow Warriors V Stormers on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 6.3

Bulls V Lions on 2026-06-05

Average Margin: Bulls by 7.8

Final

Stormers V Leinster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Stormers by 2.4

Cardiff Rugby V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 5.0

Cardiff Rugby V Stormers on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 5.0

Lions V Connacht on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Lions by 3.3

Bulls V Munster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Bulls by 4.0

Bulls V Lions on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Lions by 0.5

Cardiff Rugby V Leinster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Leinster by 16.0

Connacht V Ulster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Connacht by 3.7

Bulls V Ulster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Bulls by 4.0

Munster V Ulster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Munster by 7.8

Lions V Ulster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Lions by 5.1

Stormers V Ulster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Stormers by 3.0

Leinster V Ulster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Leinster by 8.6

Bulls V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Bulls by 5.2

Glasgow Warriors V Ulster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 6.9

Munster V Connacht on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Munster by 5.9

Munster V Leinster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Munster by 2.4

Bulls V Stormers on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Bulls by 3.3

Glasgow Warriors V Connacht on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 5.8

Connacht V Leinster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Connacht by 2.2

Connacht V Stormers on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Connacht by 5.0

Glasgow Warriors V Leinster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Glasgow Warriors by 3.4

Lions V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Lions by 4.3

Bulls V Leinster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Bulls by 2.6

Lions V Stormers on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Lions by 4.3

Stormers V Munster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Stormers by 4.0

Munster V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Munster by 6.6

Stormers V Glasgow Warriors on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Stormers by 3.9

Lions V Leinster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Lions by 1.2

Lions V Munster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Lions by 10.6

Bulls V Connacht on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Bulls by 5.2

Cardiff Rugby V Munster on 2026-06-19

Average Margin: Cardiff Rugby by 8.0