Bath Rugby V Newcastle Falcons on 2026/05/16

Club Level Predictions

The first set of predictions treats a club as the smallest object, as the club develops its members, organizes a gameplan, and deploys its players as needed for each match. This club model is currently predicting Bath Rugby to win by 7.46.

Our Over/Under is 62.5 - and combined with the spread above, we have a predicted scoreline of 35 to 28

Each club has a rating and a rating deviation (similar to a Glicko rating), and expected performances can be generated. This allows for simulated matches and spreads like the ones below.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model