Cardiff Rugby V Connacht on 2025/10/11, 14.0 to 8.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Cardiff Rugby to win by 1.82, and Cardiff Rugby won by 6.0. That’s an absolute error of 4.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.1 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 79.8% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 46.5 and we have an actual total of 22.0. That’s an absolute error of 24.5 compared to a six month average of 13.7. This prediction was more accurate than 15.0% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model