Hawke’s Bay V Taranaki on 2025/10/11, 26.0 to 12.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Hawke’s Bay to win by 1.23, and Hawke’s Bay won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.8 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.1 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 42.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 55.5 and we have an actual total of 38.0. That’s an absolute error of 17.5 compared to a six month average of 13.7. This prediction was more accurate than 29.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model