Narbonne V Marcq-en-Baroeul on 2026/02/20, 45.0 to 20.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Narbonne to win by 7.5, and Narbonne won by 25.0. That’s an absolute error of 17.5 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 27.4% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 44.5 and we have an actual total of 65.0. That’s an absolute error of 20.5 compared to a six month average of 12.8. This prediction was more accurate than 19.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Narbonne to win by 6.68, and Narbonne won by 25.0. That’s an absolute error of 18.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.5 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 24.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model