Crusaders V Brumbies on 2026/02/21, 24.0 to 50.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Crusaders to win by 4.62, and Brumbies won by 26.0. That’s an absolute error of 30.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 10.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 74.0. That’s an absolute error of 25.5 compared to a six month average of 12.8. This prediction was more accurate than 11.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Crusaders to win by 6.98, and Brumbies won by 26.0. That’s an absolute error of 33.0 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.5 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 9.3% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model