Moana Pasifika V Western Force on 2026/02/27, 19.0 to 35.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Moana Pasifika to win by 5.14, and Western Force won by 16.0. That’s an absolute error of 21.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.3 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 20.5% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 52.5 and we have an actual total of 54.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.5 compared to a six month average of 12.9. This prediction was more accurate than 93.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Moana Pasifika to win by 3.05, and Western Force won by 16.0. That’s an absolute error of 19.0 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.4 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 21.0% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model