Harlequins V Newcastle Red Bulls on 2026/02/28, 35.0 to 14.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Harlequins to win by 6.66, and Harlequins won by 21.0. That’s an absolute error of 14.3 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.3 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 34.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 49.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.5 compared to a six month average of 12.9. This prediction was more accurate than 93.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Harlequins to win by 3.18, and Harlequins won by 21.0. That’s an absolute error of 17.8 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.4 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 22.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model