Leicester Tigers V Bath Rugby on 2026/03/08, 46.0 to 21.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Bath Rugby to win by 0.7, and Leicester Tigers won by 25.0. That’s an absolute error of 25.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.2 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 13.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 67.0. That’s an absolute error of 16.5 compared to a six month average of 13.0. This prediction was more accurate than 30.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Leicester Tigers to win by 1.72, and Leicester Tigers won by 25.0. That’s an absolute error of 23.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.2 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 15.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model