Portugal V Spain on 2026/03/08, 26.0 to 7.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Portugal to win by 1.74, and Portugal won by 19.0. That’s an absolute error of 17.3 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.2 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 27.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 55.5 and we have an actual total of 33.0. That’s an absolute error of 22.5 compared to a six month average of 13.0. This prediction was more accurate than 17.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Portugal to win by 5.64, and Portugal won by 19.0. That’s an absolute error of 13.4 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.2 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 32.0% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model