Wales V Italy on 2026/03/14, 31.0 to 17.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Italy to win by 2.52, and Wales won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 16.5 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.3 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 29.4% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 44.5 and we have an actual total of 48.0. That’s an absolute error of 3.5 compared to a six month average of 13.2. This prediction was more accurate than 82.7% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model