Leicester Tigers V Exeter Chiefs on 2026/03/15, 66.0 to 14.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Leicester Tigers to win by 1.4, and Leicester Tigers won by 52.0. That’s an absolute error of 50.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.3 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 1.2% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 80.0. That’s an absolute error of 29.5 compared to a six month average of 13.2. This prediction was more accurate than 7.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Leicester Tigers to win by 3.47, and Leicester Tigers won by 52.0. That’s an absolute error of 48.5 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.2 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 1.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model