La Rochelle V Pau on 2026/03/21

La Rochelle V Pau on 2026/03/21, 20.0 to 6.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted La Rochelle to win by 3.93, and La Rochelle won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.4 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 50.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 49.5 and we have an actual total of 26.0. That’s an absolute error of 23.5 compared to a six month average of 13.3. This prediction was more accurate than 16.7% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted La Rochelle to win by 1.36, and La Rochelle won by 14.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.6 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.2 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 33.3% of my recent predictions.