Brive V Provence Rugby on 2026/04/03

Brive V Provence Rugby on 2026/04/03, 53.0 to 13.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Brive to win by 7.21, and Brive won by 40.0. That’s an absolute error of 32.8 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 7.6% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 45.5 and we have an actual total of 66.0. That’s an absolute error of 20.5 compared to a six month average of 13.1. This prediction was more accurate than 22.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Brive to win by 16.74, and Brive won by 40.0. That’s an absolute error of 23.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 14.3% of my recent predictions.