Queensland Reds V Western Force on 2026/04/04

Queensland Reds V Western Force on 2026/04/04, 19.0 to 42.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Queensland Reds to win by 11.12, and Western Force won by 23.0. That’s an absolute error of 34.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 6.4% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 61.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.5 compared to a six month average of 13.1. This prediction was more accurate than 42.7% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Queensland Reds to win by 10.0, and Western Force won by 23.0. That’s an absolute error of 33.0 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 6.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model