Queensland Reds V Western Force on 2026/04/04, 19.0 to 42.0
Club Level Predictions
Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Queensland Reds to win by 11.12, and Western Force won by 23.0. That’s an absolute error of 34.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 6.4% of my recent predictions.
For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 61.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.5 compared to a six month average of 13.1. This prediction was more accurate than 42.7% of my recent predictions.
Projected Performances - Club Model
Projected Spreads - Club Model
Projected Results - Club Model
Player Level Predictions
With the player model, I predicted Queensland Reds to win by 10.0, and Western Force won by 23.0. That’s an absolute error of 33.0 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 6.6% of my recent predictions.
Projected Performances - Player Model
Projected Spreads - Player Model
Projected Results - Player Model