Stade Toulousain V Bristol Rugby on 2026/04/04

Stade Toulousain V Bristol Rugby on 2026/04/04, 59.0 to 26.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Stade Toulousain to win by 15.74, and Stade Toulousain won by 33.0. That’s an absolute error of 17.3 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 28.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 85.0. That’s an absolute error of 34.5 compared to a six month average of 13.1. This prediction was more accurate than 3.0% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Stade Toulousain to win by 26.17, and Stade Toulousain won by 33.0. That’s an absolute error of 6.8 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 54.1% of my recent predictions.