Moana Pasifika V Chiefs on 2026/04/10

Moana Pasifika V Chiefs on 2026/04/10, 17.0 to 62.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Chiefs to win by 15.15, and Chiefs won by 45.0. That’s an absolute error of 29.8 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.7 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 10.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 49.5 and we have an actual total of 79.0. That’s an absolute error of 29.5 compared to a six month average of 13.3. This prediction was more accurate than 8.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Chiefs to win by 9.71, and Chiefs won by 45.0. That’s an absolute error of 35.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 6.5% of my recent predictions.