Bristol Bears V Gloucester Rugby on 2026/04/17

Bristol Bears V Gloucester Rugby on 2026/04/17, 53.0 to 12.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Bristol Rugby to win by 5.91, and Bristol Rugby won by 41.0. That’s an absolute error of 35.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 6.5% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 49.5 and we have an actual total of 65.0. That’s an absolute error of 15.5 compared to a six month average of 13.4. This prediction was more accurate than 35.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Bristol Rugby to win by 9.2, and Bristol Rugby won by 41.0. That’s an absolute error of 31.8 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 8.4% of my recent predictions.