Exeter Chiefs V Northampton Saints on 2026/04/18

Exeter Chiefs V Northampton Saints on 2026/04/18, 28.0 to 35.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Exeter Chiefs to win by 6.43, and Northampton Saints won by 7.0. That’s an absolute error of 13.4 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 40.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 51.5 and we have an actual total of 63.0. That’s an absolute error of 11.5 compared to a six month average of 13.4. This prediction was more accurate than 48.3% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Exeter Chiefs to win by 5.2, and Northampton Saints won by 7.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.2 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 38.5% of my recent predictions.