Richmond V Bedford on 2026/04/18

Richmond V Bedford on 2026/04/18, 33.0 to 52.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Bedford to win by 8.76, and Bedford won by 19.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 51.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 85.0. That’s an absolute error of 36.5 compared to a six month average of 13.4. This prediction was more accurate than 2.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Bedford to win by 1.56, and Bedford won by 19.0. That’s an absolute error of 17.4 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 25.1% of my recent predictions.