Carcassonne V Beziers on 2026/04/24

Carcassonne V Beziers on 2026/04/24, 20.0 to 30.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Carcassonne to win by 2.05, and Beziers won by 10.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.0 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 44.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 45.5 and we have an actual total of 50.0. That’s an absolute error of 4.5 compared to a six month average of 13.6. This prediction was more accurate than 79.5% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Beziers to win by 0.38, and Beziers won by 10.0. That’s an absolute error of 9.6 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 47.3% of my recent predictions.