Northampton Saints V Bath Rugby on 2026/04/25, 41.0 to 38.0
Club Level Predictions
Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Northampton Saints to win by 1.42, and Northampton Saints won by 3.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 91.4% of my recent predictions.
For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 52.5 and we have an actual total of 79.0. That’s an absolute error of 26.5 compared to a six month average of 13.6. This prediction was more accurate than 13.3% of my recent predictions.
Projected Performances - Club Model
Projected Spreads - Club Model
Projected Results - Club Model
Player Level Predictions
With the player model, I predicted Northampton Saints to win by 8.46, and Northampton Saints won by 3.0. That’s an absolute error of 5.5 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 63.9% of my recent predictions.
Projected Performances - Player Model
Projected Spreads - Player Model
Projected Results - Player Model