Toulon V Bayonne on 2026/04/25

Toulon V Bayonne on 2026/04/25, 52.0 to 26.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Toulon to win by 9.3, and Toulon won by 26.0. That’s an absolute error of 16.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 31.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 78.0. That’s an absolute error of 27.5 compared to a six month average of 13.6. This prediction was more accurate than 11.6% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Toulon to win by 13.69, and Toulon won by 26.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 37.8% of my recent predictions.