Gloucester Rugby V Exeter Chiefs on 2026/04/26

Gloucester Rugby V Exeter Chiefs on 2026/04/26, 34.0 to 31.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Exeter Chiefs to win by 3.78, and Gloucester Rugby won by 3.0. That’s an absolute error of 6.8 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 65.6% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 65.0. That’s an absolute error of 16.5 compared to a six month average of 13.6. This prediction was more accurate than 32.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Exeter Chiefs to win by 4.85, and Gloucester Rugby won by 3.0. That’s an absolute error of 7.8 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 53.6% of my recent predictions.