Ulster V Exeter Chiefs on 2026/05/02

Ulster V Exeter Chiefs on 2026/05/02, 29.0 to 12.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Ulster to win by 2.36, and Ulster won by 17.0. That’s an absolute error of 14.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 36.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 41.0. That’s an absolute error of 7.5 compared to a six month average of 13.5. This prediction was more accurate than 64.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Ulster to win by 3.39, and Ulster won by 17.0. That’s an absolute error of 13.6 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 33.7% of my recent predictions.