Highlanders V New South Wales Waratahs on 2026/05/09

Highlanders V New South Wales Waratahs on 2026/05/09, 31.0 to 26.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Highlanders to win by 5.88, and Highlanders won by 5.0. That’s an absolute error of 0.9 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 95.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 57.0. That’s an absolute error of 8.5 compared to a six month average of 13.4. This prediction was more accurate than 61.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Highlanders to win by 6.67, and Highlanders won by 5.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.7 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.8 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 80.2% of my recent predictions.