Exeter Chiefs V Bath Rugby on 2026/05/10

Exeter Chiefs V Bath Rugby on 2026/05/10, 35.0 to 12.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Exeter Chiefs to win by 2.31, and Exeter Chiefs won by 23.0. That’s an absolute error of 20.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 22.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 47.0. That’s an absolute error of 3.5 compared to a six month average of 13.4. This prediction was more accurate than 83.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Bath Rugby to win by 0.44, and Exeter Chiefs won by 23.0. That’s an absolute error of 23.4 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.8 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 15.2% of my recent predictions.