Edinburgh V Connacht on 2026/05/15

Edinburgh V Connacht on 2026/05/15, 5.0 to 26.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Connacht to win by 1.67, and Connacht won by 21.0. That’s an absolute error of 19.3 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 25.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 45.5 and we have an actual total of 31.0. That’s an absolute error of 14.5 compared to a six month average of 13.5. This prediction was more accurate than 37.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Connacht to win by 0.89, and Connacht won by 21.0. That’s an absolute error of 20.1 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 20.4% of my recent predictions.