Bath Rugby V Newcastle Red Bulls on 2026/05/16

Bath Rugby V Newcastle Red Bulls on 2026/05/16, 69.0 to 12.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Bath Rugby to win by 22.26, and Bath Rugby won by 57.0. That’s an absolute error of 34.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 6.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 46.5 and we have an actual total of 81.0. That’s an absolute error of 34.5 compared to a six month average of 13.5. This prediction was more accurate than 4.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Bath Rugby to win by 23.49, and Bath Rugby won by 57.0. That’s an absolute error of 33.5 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 7.1% of my recent predictions.