California Legion V Chicago Hounds on 2026/05/16

California Legion V Chicago Hounds on 2026/05/16, 26.0 to 36.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted California Legion to win by 57.61, and Chicago Hounds won by 10.0. That’s an absolute error of 67.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 0.2% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 62.0. That’s an absolute error of 13.5 compared to a six month average of 13.5. This prediction was more accurate than 39.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted California Legion to win by 0.23, and Chicago Hounds won by 10.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.2 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 44.3% of my recent predictions.