Castres Olympique V Montpellier Herault on 2026/05/16, 33.0 to 36.0
Club Level Predictions
Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Montpellier Herault to win by 1.41, and Montpellier Herault won by 3.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 91.3% of my recent predictions.
For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 69.0. That’s an absolute error of 20.5 compared to a six month average of 13.5. This prediction was more accurate than 22.5% of my recent predictions.
Projected Performances - Club Model
Projected Spreads - Club Model
Projected Results - Club Model
Player Level Predictions
With the player model, I predicted Castres Olympique to win by 2.11, and Montpellier Herault won by 3.0. That’s an absolute error of 5.1 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 65.0% of my recent predictions.
Projected Performances - Player Model
Projected Spreads - Player Model
Projected Results - Player Model