Leinster V Ospreys on 2026/05/16

Leinster V Ospreys on 2026/05/16, 68.0 to 14.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Leinster to win by 14.43, and Leinster won by 54.0. That’s an absolute error of 39.6 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 4.5% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 44.5 and we have an actual total of 82.0. That’s an absolute error of 37.5 compared to a six month average of 13.5. This prediction was more accurate than 3.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Leinster to win by 17.55, and Leinster won by 54.0. That’s an absolute error of 36.4 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 5.6% of my recent predictions.