Racing 92 V Toulon on 2026/05/16

Racing 92 V Toulon on 2026/05/16, 43.0 to 28.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Racing 92 to win by 5.79, and Racing 92 won by 15.0. That’s an absolute error of 9.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 55.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 71.0. That’s an absolute error of 20.5 compared to a six month average of 13.5. This prediction was more accurate than 22.5% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Racing 92 to win by 11.06, and Racing 92 won by 15.0. That’s an absolute error of 3.9 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 69.1% of my recent predictions.