Western Force V Queensland Reds on 2026/05/16

Western Force V Queensland Reds on 2026/05/16, 19.0 to 14.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Western Force to win by 3.92, and Western Force won by 5.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 13.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 94.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 47.5 and we have an actual total of 33.0. That’s an absolute error of 14.5 compared to a six month average of 13.5. This prediction was more accurate than 37.4% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Western Force to win by 5.66, and Western Force won by 5.0. That’s an absolute error of 0.7 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.9 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 84.3% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Player Model

Projected Spreads - Player Model

Projected Results - Player Model