Moana Pasifika V Queensland Reds on 2026/05/23

Moana Pasifika V Queensland Reds on 2026/05/23, 31.0 to 33.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Queensland Reds to win by 7.74, and Queensland Reds won by 2.0. That’s an absolute error of 5.7 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 71.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 49.5 and we have an actual total of 64.0. That’s an absolute error of 14.5 compared to a six month average of 13.7. This prediction was more accurate than 38.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Queensland Reds to win by 3.43, and Queensland Reds won by 2.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.4 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.8 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 80.8% of my recent predictions.