Provence Rugby V Brive on 2026/05/23

Provence Rugby V Brive on 2026/05/23, 39.0 to 21.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Provence Rugby to win by 4.24, and Provence Rugby won by 18.0. That’s an absolute error of 13.8 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 40.4% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 49.5 and we have an actual total of 60.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.5 compared to a six month average of 13.7. This prediction was more accurate than 52.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Provence Rugby to win by 6.25, and Provence Rugby won by 18.0. That’s an absolute error of 11.8 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 13.8 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 39.1% of my recent predictions.