Stade Toulousain V Lyon on 2026/05/30

Stade Toulousain V Lyon on 2026/05/30, 39.0 to 31.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Stade Toulousain to win by 18.09, and Stade Toulousain won by 8.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.2 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 53.9% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 51.5 and we have an actual total of 70.0. That’s an absolute error of 18.5 compared to a six month average of 13.7. This prediction was more accurate than 28.2% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Stade Toulousain to win by 20.6, and Stade Toulousain won by 8.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.6 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.0 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 37.0% of my recent predictions.