South Africa V England on 2026/07/04

South Africa V England on 2026/07/04, 45.0 to 21.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted South Africa to win by 16.95, and South Africa won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 7.0 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 65.8% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 66.0. That’s an absolute error of 15.5 compared to a six month average of 14.5. This prediction was more accurate than 37.7% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted South Africa to win by 13.75, and South Africa won by 24.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.2 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.3 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 42.0% of my recent predictions.