Tonga V Zimbabwe on 2026/07/04, 36.0 to 26.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Zimbabwe to win by 9.04, and Tonga won by 10.0. That’s an absolute error of 19.0 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.5 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 27.3% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 45.5 and we have an actual total of 62.0. That’s an absolute error of 16.5 compared to a six month average of 14.5. This prediction was more accurate than 34.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model