Tonga V Spain on 2026/07/11, 19.0 to 32.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Spain to win by 2.16, and Spain won by 13.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.8 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.7 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 52.6% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 53.5 and we have an actual total of 51.0. That’s an absolute error of 2.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 89.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model