New Zealand V Ireland on 2026/07/18

New Zealand V Ireland on 2026/07/18, 40.0 to 21.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted New Zealand to win by 8.75, and New Zealand won by 19.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.2 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.6 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 55.5% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 61.0. That’s an absolute error of 10.5 compared to a six month average of 14.2. This prediction was more accurate than 53.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted New Zealand to win by 12.77, and New Zealand won by 19.0. That’s an absolute error of 6.2 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 14.4 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 53.3% of my recent predictions.