Wellington V Hawke’s Bay on 2026/08/02, 33.0 to 52.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Hawke’s Bay to win by 3.88, and Hawke’s Bay won by 19.0. That’s an absolute error of 15.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.9 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 38.7% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 85.0. That’s an absolute error of 34.5 compared to a six month average of 14.3. This prediction was more accurate than 5.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model