Hawke’s Bay V Tasman on 2026/08/08, 50.0 to 19.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Hawke’s Bay to win by 12.92, and Hawke’s Bay won by 31.0. That’s an absolute error of 18.1 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 15.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 31.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 52.5 and we have an actual total of 69.0. That’s an absolute error of 16.5 compared to a six month average of 14.5. This prediction was more accurate than 35.3% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model