Manawatu V Southland on 2026/08/09, 36.0 to 35.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Manawatu to win by 2.55, and Manawatu won by 1.0. That’s an absolute error of 1.5 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 15.0 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 92.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 48.5 and we have an actual total of 71.0. That’s an absolute error of 22.5 compared to a six month average of 14.5. This prediction was more accurate than 22.9% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model