Auckland V Hawke's Bay on 2026/08/15

Auckland V Hawke’s Bay on 2026/08/15, 31.0 to 44.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Hawke’s Bay to win by 7.46, and Hawke’s Bay won by 13.0. That’s an absolute error of 5.5 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 73.8% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 52.5 and we have an actual total of 75.0. That’s an absolute error of 22.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 22.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Auckland to win by 1.34, and Hawke’s Bay won by 13.0. That’s an absolute error of 14.3 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.1 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 38.3% of my recent predictions.