Australia V Japan on 2026/08/15

Australia V Japan on 2026/08/15, 56.0 to 17.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Australia to win by 10.68, and Australia won by 39.0. That’s an absolute error of 28.3 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 14.0% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 50.5 and we have an actual total of 73.0. That’s an absolute error of 22.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 22.1% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Japan to win by 1.81, and Australia won by 39.0. That’s an absolute error of 40.8 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.1 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 3.7% of my recent predictions.