Manawatu V Otago on 2026/08/15

Manawatu V Otago on 2026/08/15, 27.0 to 29.0

Club Level Predictions

Now that the game has been played, lets see how the club predictions did. I predicted Otago to win by 14.26, and Otago won by 2.0. That’s an absolute error of 12.3 for the margin of victory, while my average absolute error has been 14.8 over the past six months. This prediction was more accurate than 49.1% of my recent predictions.

For the Over/Under model, I predicted a total of 51.5 and we have an actual total of 56.0. That’s an absolute error of 4.5 compared to a six month average of 14.4. This prediction was more accurate than 79.8% of my recent predictions.

Projected Performances - Club Model

Projected Spreads - Club Model

Projected Results - Club Model

Player Level Predictions

With the player model, I predicted Otago to win by 4.71, and Otago won by 2.0. That’s an absolute error of 2.7 for the margin of victory, while the average error as been 15.1 for the past six months. So this prediction was more accurate than 76.9% of my recent predictions.